Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Fairfield Stags
92 – 82
FINAL Conference
Quinnipiac Bobcats
Metro Conference · Leo D. Mahoney Arena · March 3, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -2.5 Home covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money FAIR +130 / QUIN -120
Model Predictions
Spread Total FAIR win
Actual FAIR +10 174 Won
Massey QUIN -1.5 (+11.5) — —
Massey Totals — 136.4 (+37.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 36% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 33% ✗
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -2.0 (+12.0) 140.1 (+33.9) 44% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -3.2 (+13.2) 140.9 (+33.1) 40% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -1.8 (+11.8) 138.7 (+35.3) 43% ✗
Baseline ML QUIN -1.5 (+11.5) 140.4 (+33.6) 42% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 FAIR 85 – 79 QUIN
Feb 1, 2026 QUIN 72 – 65 FAIR
Mar 9, 2025 FAIR 83 – 74 QUIN
Feb 1, 2025 QUIN 81 – 69 FAIR
Feb 24, 2024 FAIR 85 – 81 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FAIR QUIN
Overall 13-18 20-12
Conference 9-11 11-9
Home 7-6 9-4
Away 4-10 9-6
Neutral 2-2 2-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 64.2 72.5
Avg Pts Against 66.7 69.8
Massey -4.6 (#245) 0.5 (#160)
Bradley-Terry -1.14 (#281) 0.04 (#166)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.30 (#271) 0.11 (#164)
RPI 0.466 (#255) 0.515 (#151)
Shooting & Four Factors FAIR QUIN
FG% 40.3% 42.9%
3PT% 28.6% 35.6%
REB / G 33.2 38.1
OREB / G 9.8 11.5
AST / TO 0.75 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.6% 49.6%
TOV% 18.2% 18.5%
ORB% 28.5% 32.4%
FT Rate 26.9% 22.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.8% 47.2%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 16.5%
DRB% 70.6% 73.2%
Opp FT Rate 19.7% 18.3%

Game Analysis

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