Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | DREX -480 MONM +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +19 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -12.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.6 (-17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -10.4 (+8.6) | 132.7 (-23.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -8.9 (+10.1) | 130.7 (-21.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -9.2 (+9.8) | 133.2 (-24.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -10.3 (+8.7) | 134.2 (-25.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | MONM 65 – 57 DREX |
| Feb 13, 2026 | MONM 93 – 73 DREX |
| Jan 16, 2026 | DREX 73 – 51 MONM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | DREX 71 – 61 MONM |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MONM 104 – 97 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-3 | 3-10 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 61.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#195) | -13.4 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#222) | -1.70 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#219) | -2.11 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#210) | 0.447 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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