Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -210 SEMO +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +7 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -0.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -1.6 (-8.6) | 142.1 (-19.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -1.8 (-8.8) | 140.4 (-17.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -1.6 (-8.6) | 141.5 (-18.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -1.8 (-8.8) | 141.1 (-18.1) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MORE 66 – 61 SEMO |
| Feb 6, 2026 | SEMO 82 – 70 MORE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORE 71 – 69 SEMO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SEMO 80 – 51 MORE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MORE 67 – 56 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#253) | -4.9 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#172) | -0.81 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#204) | -1.15 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#127) | 0.491 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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