Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +22 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | VT -13.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -11.6 (+10.4) | 148.7 (-6.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -12.2 (+9.8) | 150.5 (-8.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -12.6 (+9.4) | 150.4 (-8.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -12.9 (+9.1) | 150.0 (-8.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | FSU 92 – 69 VT |
| Jan 30, 2025 | VT 76 – 66 FSU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FSU 86 – 76 VT |
| Feb 14, 2024 | VT 83 – 75 FSU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | FSU 77 – 74 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 5-11 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#79) | -2.3 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#78) | -0.36 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#71) | -0.41 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#96) | 0.479 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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