Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | SUU -250 CBU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -7.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -5.0 (+5.0) | 144.8 (+7.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -4.2 (+5.8) | 143.3 (+8.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -5.4 (+4.6) | 146.1 (+5.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -6.0 (+4.0) | 146.3 (+5.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CBU 82 – 75 SUU |
| Feb 13, 2026 | CBU 83 – 66 SUU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | CBU 58 – 55 SUU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SUU 60 – 57 CBU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CBU 76 – 60 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 13-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#101) | 0.4 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#106) | -0.12 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#110) | 0.03 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#105) | 0.465 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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