Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SOU -250 AAMU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | SOU -7.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -4.4 (-7.4) | 138.6 (-5.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -5.6 (-8.6) | 139.3 (-6.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -5.0 (-8.0) | 138.6 (-5.6) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -4.7 (-7.7) | 138.2 (-5.2) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | SOU 88 – 85 AAMU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | SOU 81 – 68 AAMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SOU 71 – 57 AAMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SOU 81 – 68 AAMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | AAMU 66 – 56 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SOU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-2 | 9-8 |
| Away | 5-12 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#252) | -8.9 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#266) | -1.72 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#277) | -2.18 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#229) | 0.424 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SOU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.