Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +22 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -1.2 (+20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -1.8 (+20.2) | 135.0 (-11.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -0.2 (+21.8) | 131.7 (-7.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -1.4 (+20.6) | 134.8 (-10.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -1.7 (+20.3) | 134.5 (-10.5) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | W&M 72 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 14, 2026 | ELON 81 – 78 W&M |
| Jan 30, 2026 | ELON 79 – 76 W&M |
| Feb 23, 2025 | W&M 79 – 70 ELON |
| Jan 10, 2025 | W&M 78 – 65 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 1-14 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 63.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#316) | -10.0 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#288) | -1.99 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#304) | -2.40 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#272) | 0.401 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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