Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | DART +180 HARV -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +5 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | HARV -3.6 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+36.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -3.5 (+8.5) | 137.8 (+31.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -3.2 (+8.2) | 138.3 (+30.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -3.0 (+8.0) | 137.6 (+31.4) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -2.9 (+7.9) | 137.8 (+31.2) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | HARV 71 – 58 DART |
| Jan 6, 2026 | DART 76 – 68 HARV |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HARV 66 – 58 DART |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DART 76 – 56 HARV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DART 76 – 69 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-18 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 5-9 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#278) | 1.1 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#290) | -0.25 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#310) | -0.19 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#290) | 0.500 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.