Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -5.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -5.3 (+2.7) | 148.8 (-2.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -4.1 (+3.9) | 148.1 (-2.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -4.8 (+3.2) | 150.6 (-4.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -5.1 (+2.9) | 152.7 (-6.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | PENN 61 – 60 PRIN |
| Jan 6, 2026 | PRIN 78 – 76 PENN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PRIN 95 – 71 PENN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | PRIN 61 – 59 PENN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | PRIN 105 – 83 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 9-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#105) | 1.9 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#132) | 0.27 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#123) | 0.37 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#104) | 0.534 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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