Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.0 Under |
| Money | SF -420 PAC +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +17 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SF -4.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -3.3 (+13.7) | 154.7 (-11.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -5.0 (+12.0) | 152.1 (-9.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -3.8 (+13.2) | 155.9 (-12.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -3.9 (+13.1) | 153.9 (-10.9) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SF 72 – 61 PAC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SF 87 – 82 PAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SF 71 – 58 PAC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | SF 89 – 81 PAC |
| Feb 4, 2024 | SF 79 – 73 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-10 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#108) | -0.9 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#115) | -0.17 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#111) | -0.13 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#173) | 0.473 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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