Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +6 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -0.8 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -0.7 (+5.3) | 141.4 (-25.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -0.7 (+5.3) | 139.7 (-23.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -0.7 (+5.3) | 142.2 (-26.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -0.9 (+5.1) | 144.1 (-28.1) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UGA 87 – 68 SC |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UGA 75 – 70 SC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UGA 73 – 64 SC |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UGA 71 – 60 SC |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SC 72 – 62 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#234) | 0.5 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#180) | 0.74 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#198) | 0.99 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#235) | 0.511 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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