Betting Lines
| Spread | SAM -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Over |
| Money | SAM -120 UTC +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +3 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | SAM -3.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAM -3.4 (-6.4) | 151.1 (+15.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAM -2.4 (-5.4) | 151.4 (+15.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAM -4.0 (-7.0) | 150.7 (+16.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SAM -3.9 (-6.9) | 152.9 (+14.1) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | SAM 75 – 64 UTC |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UTC 88 – 79 SAM |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UTC 82 – 68 SAM |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SAM 73 – 69 UTC |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SAM 78 – 56 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAM | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#132) | -1.1 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#147) | -0.67 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#147) | -0.68 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#140) | 0.489 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAM | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.