Betting Lines
| Spread | SAM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | SAM -210 UTC +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +14 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | SAM -5.9 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAM -5.0 (-19.0) | 155.1 (-5.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAM -6.6 (-20.6) | 154.0 (-4.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAM -5.3 (-19.3) | 153.7 (-3.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SAM -5.4 (-19.4) | 154.8 (-4.8) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | SAM 75 – 64 UTC |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UTC 88 – 79 SAM |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SAM 73 – 69 UTC |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SAM 78 – 56 UTC |
| Jan 4, 2024 | SAM 89 – 74 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAM | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 9-7 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#100) | 1.9 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#97) | 0.58 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#101) | 0.64 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#77) | 0.535 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAM | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.