Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | TA&M -120 ALA +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +6 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -5.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -1.5 (+7.5) | 151.3 (-23.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -0.9 (+6.9) | 152.3 (-24.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -3.0 (+9.0) | 150.0 (-22.0) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -2.1 (+8.1) | 151.1 (-23.1) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | ALA 100 – 97 TA&M |
| Jan 12, 2025 | ALA 94 – 88 TA&M |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ALA 100 – 75 TA&M |
| Mar 12, 2023 | ALA 82 – 63 TA&M |
| Mar 3, 2022 | TA&M 87 – 71 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 31-6 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 16-2 |
| Home | 15-1 | 15-0 |
| Away | 7-4 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 81.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#33) | 20.7 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#28) | 3.59 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#35) | 4.11 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#44) | 0.668 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 44.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 34.8% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 42.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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