Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | ALA -550 TA&M +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +16 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | ALA -8.5 (-24.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -9.3 (-25.3) | 154.3 (+3.7) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -8.3 (-24.3) | 152.8 (+5.2) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -8.1 (-24.1) | 153.3 (+4.7) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -8.2 (-24.2) | 153.7 (+4.3) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | ALA 100 – 97 TA&M |
| Jan 12, 2025 | ALA 94 – 88 TA&M |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ALA 100 – 75 TA&M |
| Mar 12, 2023 | ALA 82 – 63 TA&M |
| Mar 4, 2023 | TA&M 67 – 61 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 27-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 16-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#20) | 8.3 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#25) | 1.51 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#23) | 1.78 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.642 (#4) | 0.543 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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