Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M +140 ALA -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +6 | 182 | Lost |
| Massey | ALA -1.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.9 (+21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -0.5 (-6.5) | 161.2 (+20.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -0.2 (-6.2) | 162.3 (+19.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -1.8 (-7.8) | 159.1 (+22.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -1.2 (-4.8) | 157.7 (+24.3) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | ALA 100 – 97 TA&M |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ALA 100 – 75 TA&M |
| Mar 12, 2023 | ALA 82 – 63 TA&M |
| Mar 4, 2023 | TA&M 67 – 61 ALA |
| Mar 3, 2022 | TA&M 87 – 71 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 90.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 81.3 |
| Massey | 16.2 (#20) | 21.1 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.70 (#10) | 3.84 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.44 (#15) | 5.11 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.665 (#7) | 0.702 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 42.1 | 44.8 |
| OREB / G | 16.7 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 44.5% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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