Western Carolina
Catamounts
69
–
57
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Ingles SoCon
East Tennessee State
Buccaneers
Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | ETSU -0.9 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -0.1 (+12.1) | 138.5 (-12.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -0.6 (+12.6) | 135.6 (-9.6) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -0.2 (+11.8) | 138.2 (-12.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -0.4 (+12.4) | 137.5 (-11.5) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ETSU 69 – 67 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | WCU 90 – 88 ETSU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WCU 72 – 68 ETSU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | WCU 76 – 67 ETSU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | ETSU 85 – 58 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#251) | -3.8 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#235) | -1.32 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#243) | -1.43 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#220) | 0.439 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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