Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NEV -420 UNLV +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +2 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | NEV -8.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -7.4 (-9.4) | 140.5 (-4.5) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -6.4 (-8.4) | 140.0 (-4.0) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -7.5 (-9.5) | 141.1 (-5.1) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -7.8 (-9.8) | 140.7 (-4.7) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNLV 85 – 83 NEV |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NEV 89 – 76 UNLV |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UNLV 68 – 55 NEV |
| Feb 2, 2025 | NEV 71 – 65 UNLV |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NEV 75 – 65 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#49) | 5.5 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#27) | 0.98 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#41) | 1.42 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#15) | 0.540 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 25.3% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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