Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | NEV -375 UNLV +295 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +13 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -10.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -11.7 (+1.3) | 147.7 (+17.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -10.6 (+2.4) | 148.7 (+16.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -10.5 (+2.5) | 148.1 (+16.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -11.3 (+1.7) | 148.4 (+16.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNLV 85 – 83 NEV |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UNLV 68 – 55 NEV |
| Feb 2, 2025 | NEV 71 – 65 UNLV |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NEV 75 – 65 UNLV |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NEV 69 – 66 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 17-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 79.3 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#71) | 1.3 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#63) | 0.36 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#63) | 0.37 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#43) | 0.518 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.9% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 32.4% |
Game Analysis
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