Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +12 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | KC -1.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -1.2 (-13.2) | 134.9 (-0.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -2.7 (-14.7) | 132.0 (+2.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -0.8 (-12.8) | 134.3 (-0.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KC -1.0 (-13.0) | 135.1 (-1.1) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | OMA 77 – 60 KC |
| Jan 4, 2026 | KC 73 – 66 OMA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OMA 70 – 61 KC |
| Feb 20, 2025 | OMA 78 – 66 KC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | OMA 77 – 58 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-8 | 5-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#300) | -9.1 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#274) | -1.42 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#278) | -1.78 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#278) | 0.450 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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