Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | SLU -125 DAY +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +4 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -0.3 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -1.3 (+2.7) | 136.8 (-10.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -0.9 (+3.1) | 135.6 (-9.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -1.2 (+2.8) | 138.0 (-12.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -1.1 (+2.9) | 139.8 (-13.8) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DAY 70 – 69 SLU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | DAY 77 – 62 SLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SLU 102 – 71 DAY |
| Mar 5, 2025 | DAY 75 – 67 SLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DAY 71 – 63 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 61.0 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#104) | 8.0 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#87) | 0.90 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#94) | 1.34 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#58) | 0.548 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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