Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -4.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -2.8 (+8.2) | 133.3 (-2.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -3.9 (+7.1) | 134.0 (-3.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -3.1 (+7.9) | 130.9 (+0.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -3.6 (+7.4) | 132.5 (-1.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MRMK 70 – 48 SHU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | MRMK 75 – 58 SHU |
| Dec 29, 2025 | MRMK 80 – 72 SHU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MRMK 66 – 62 SHU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SHU 60 – 59 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.0 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#315) | -9.7 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#304) | -1.60 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#302) | -2.02 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#231) | 0.437 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 27.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 20.3% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.3% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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