Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +9 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -3.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -3.5 (+5.5) | 136.3 (-7.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -4.1 (+4.9) | 135.8 (-6.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -3.4 (+5.6) | 134.9 (-5.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -3.4 (+5.6) | 134.7 (-5.7) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | COLO 92 – 78 UTAH |
| Jan 8, 2026 | COLO 85 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTAH 72 – 59 COLO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | COLO 72 – 58 UTAH |
| Feb 25, 2024 | COLO 89 – 65 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#59) | 9.4 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#104) | 0.87 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#89) | 1.17 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#106) | 0.507 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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