Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
| Money | DRKE -210 SIU +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +13 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -4.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -3.7 (+9.3) | 129.6 (-12.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -4.2 (+8.8) | 128.8 (-11.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -4.0 (+9.0) | 129.1 (-12.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -3.8 (+9.2) | 129.9 (-12.9) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DRKE 67 – 63 SIU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | SIU 66 – 61 DRKE |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DRKE 76 – 73 SIU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DRKE 70 – 53 SIU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DRKE 75 – 65 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 61.7 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#80) | 2.4 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#67) | 0.93 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#69) | 0.75 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#59) | 0.553 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.