Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +20 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -12.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -11.8 (+8.2) | 145.8 (+18.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -10.5 (+9.5) | 146.3 (+17.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -10.5 (+9.5) | 148.2 (+15.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -11.6 (+8.4) | 147.5 (+16.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UTC 86 – 79 VMI |
| Jan 3, 2026 | VMI 79 – 71 UTC |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UTC 91 – 70 VMI |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UTC 91 – 66 VMI |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UTC 88 – 84 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 2-16 |
| Home | 9-7 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-9 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#192) | -13.4 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#239) | -2.52 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#226) | -3.02 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#205) | 0.392 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.