Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
52–30 on winners spread MAE 9.2 82 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
East Carolina @ Tulane +9.3 154.3 82% 78–81 ✓
North Dakota @ Denver -0.3 146.7 48% 83–68 ✓
Murray State @ Drake +8.6 141.4 80% 62–74 ✓
Dayton @ Saint Louis +1.2 138.0 56% 61–65 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo +6.4 151.9 75% 63–68 ✓
Central Michigan @ Western Michigan +2.3 138.8 62% 65–81 ✓
VMI @ Chattanooga +10.5 148.2 84% 72–92 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Sam Houston +11.9 136.5 87% 54–72 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Morehead State +1.6 141.5 56% 65–58 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Utah Valley +7.0 144.6 77% 69–113 ✓
Bowling Green @ Ohio +10.4 155.1 85% 58–92 ✓
Winthrop @ Radford +2.6 142.0 59% 69–78 ✓
Portland @ BYU +5.7 154.7 71% 71–82 ✓
California Baptist @ Southern Utah +5.4 146.1 73% 71–81 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Utah Tech +1.3 148.7 56% 71–61 ✗
Omaha @ Kansas City +0.8 134.3 54% 73–61 ✗
Missouri State @ Southern Illinois +1.1 122.6 54% 51–54 ✓
UT Arlington @ Seattle U +7.6 134.3 78% 56–80 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech -1.5 153.1 42% 63–78 ✗
New Mexico @ Colorado State -1.7 155.1 44% 84–92 ✗
Pacific @ San Francisco +3.8 155.9 65% 63–80 ✓
Alabama @ Texas A&M -3.0 150.0 38% 61–67 ✗
Iowa State @ Baylor +6.1 136.3 74% 73–58 ✗
Seton Hall @ Providence +6.8 141.3 76% 82–58 ✗
Mercer @ Furman +8.0 141.6 80% 58–73 ✓
Elon @ William & Mary +1.4 134.8 56% 51–73 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Asheville +6.0 138.4 74% 62–66 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Princeton +4.8 150.6 70% 69–77 ✓
Ohio State @ Michigan State +6.3 143.9 77% 78–84 ✓
South Alabama @ Southern Miss +2.0 136.7 59% 78–61 ✗
George Mason @ Richmond +0.7 136.0 50% 62–60 ✗
Bryant @ New Hampshire -2.1 141.1 43% 60–67 ✗
UAB @ Charlotte -1.4 138.7 44% 93–91 ✓
Georgia @ South Carolina +0.7 142.2 54% 55–61 ✓
St. John's @ Marquette +11.9 160.0 88% 94–96 ✓
Kansas State @ West Virginia +2.7 148.8 63% 81–89 ✓
Tennessee @ Auburn -2.4 133.2 37% 70–79 ✗
Louisville @ Virginia +15.9 129.8 90% 60–75 ✓
Kentucky @ Arkansas +5.7 144.8 69% 88–79 ✗
Columbia @ Cornell +15.0 158.6 89% 73–87 ✓
Harvard @ Dartmouth -3.0 137.6 37% 82–87 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ UTEP -0.9 136.8 48% 65–77 ✗
Siena @ Saint Peter's -3.7 129.8 37% 72–73 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Manhattan +1.2 137.1 56% 74–69 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ La Salle +4.7 142.2 68% 76–73 ✗
Duquesne @ Fordham +1.0 144.8 56% 60–87 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina +0.2 138.2 50% 57–69 ✓
Monmouth @ Drexel +9.2 133.2 82% 45–64 ✓
Campbell @ Radford +1.5 134.7 56% 72–71 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Boston College +2.5 139.1 64% 73–65 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Massachusetts +2.9 139.9 64% 60–71 ✓
TCU @ Oklahoma -0.4 144.0 47% 60–74 ✗
Troy @ James Madison +3.2 146.3 61% 72–75 ✓
Western Kentucky @ North Texas +10.7 127.2 83% 33–67 ✓
Florida International @ Rice +4.5 156.4 69% 90–83 ✗
Indiana State @ Bradley +2.3 141.2 61% 70–71 ✓
Niagara @ Canisius +2.5 135.0 61% 68–81 ✓
Ole Miss @ Missouri +8.5 149.0 80% 77–82 ✓
Kansas @ Texas +2.7 149.8 61% 59–75 ✓
Maine @ UMass Lowell +12.6 144.0 87% 54–85 ✓
Texas Southern @ Prairie View A&M +3.8 137.2 66% 74–78 ✓
Stanford @ Oregon +6.9 141.4 77% 68–73 ✓
Florida State @ Virginia Tech +12.2 150.5 88% 60–82 ✓
San José State @ Air Force +0.7 133.4 51% 63–61 ✗
Long Beach State @ UC Davis +2.9 156.3 65% 92–93 ✓
Florida A&M @ Bethune-Cookman +2.0 131.2 57% 70–91 ✓
VCU @ George Washington -5.8 146.9 24% 74–68 ✓
Wake Forest @ Syracuse +0.2 157.3 51% 63–72 ✓
UNLV @ Nevada +7.5 141.1 78% 69–67 ✗
Utah @ Colorado +3.4 134.9 66% 60–69 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Miami +6.9 156.2 77% 76–78 ✓
Texas State @ Marshall +8.0 146.2 80% 71–68 ✗
Chattanooga @ Samford +4.0 150.7 66% 85–82 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack +3.1 130.9 66% 60–71 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Drake +4.0 129.1 66% 52–65 ✓
Stony Brook @ North Carolina A&T +2.0 137.1 60% 76–61 ✗
Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech +4.4 140.5 68% 71–68 ✗
LSU @ Florida +10.2 142.6 83% 67–79 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Southern +5.0 138.6 68% 68–65 ✗
Alcorn State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -1.8 142.7 38% 63–58 ✓
Alabama State @ Grambling +12.1 128.8 87% 49–69 ✓
Duke @ North Carolina +2.1 141.4 58% 62–57 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.