Can I kick it? Yes you can. "Can I Kick It?" - A Tribe Called Quest
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–18 on winners spread MAE 8.8 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wichita State @ Houston +17.3 134.7 90% 66–83 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Colgate +13.8 147.9 88% 73–92 ✓
American University @ Navy +8.6 129.4 79% 52–51 ✗
Lafayette @ Lehigh +2.5 130.9 59% 71–64 ✗
Valparaiso @ Murray State +2.5 142.3 62% 50–78 ✓
Oakland @ Northern Kentucky +9.5 138.2 82% 74–81 ✓
Lipscomb @ Kennesaw State +5.0 148.9 73% 71–80 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Liberty +13.0 140.7 87% 73–79 ✓
UCF @ Temple -3.2 140.6 40% 55–57 ✗
Florida International @ Louisiana Tech +5.5 145.3 72% 76–77 ✓
Manhattan @ Siena +8.2 139.5 80% 67–66 ✗
Rider @ Saint Peter's -2.5 130.6 40% 73–60 ✓
Marist @ Iona +16.8 137.0 90% 74–93 ✓
Michigan @ Illinois +5.3 144.4 69% 87–91 ✓
Rutgers @ Minnesota -10.3 130.4 15% 74–75 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee State -0.3 157.6 47% 91–83 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Fairfield -1.8 138.7 43% 82–92 ✗
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State -8.0 148.6 20% 71–64 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Delaware State -6.0 137.5 24% 64–58 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Youngstown State +8.4 161.1 81% 66–71 ✓
Wright State @ Milwaukee +1.5 159.2 57% 70–87 ✓
Robert Morris @ Cleveland State +5.1 136.8 69% 70–75 ✓
Coppin State @ Morgan State +6.2 152.1 74% 77–65 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ North Texas +7.1 130.9 76% 50–64 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Rice -7.9 154.9 19% 103–74 ✓
Charlotte @ UTSA -7.7 137.4 20% 73–78 ✗
UL Monroe @ Georgia Southern +4.6 135.4 69% 57–66 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Grambling +9.4 133.5 83% 48–60 ✓
Alcorn State @ Mississippi Valley State -5.4 142.7 25% 70–60 ✓
Arizona State @ UCLA +12.9 136.2 87% 61–79 ✓
Purdue @ Wisconsin -3.2 129.3 35% 63–61 ✓
San Diego @ Portland +1.9 160.7 59% 74–92 ✓
Jackson State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +0.9 141.2 53% 67–63 ✗
Memphis @ SMU -7.6 153.4 23% 81–62 ✓
Alabama State @ Southern +9.5 135.1 82% 52–66 ✓
Stanford @ Oregon State -3.1 132.0 38% 83–60 ✓
Western Kentucky @ UTEP +1.8 142.8 60% 73–68 ✗
Norfolk State @ Howard -0.4 148.5 49% 67–87 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis +1.0 142.5 54% 89–86 ✗
UIC @ Missouri State +7.1 133.6 77% 57–74 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State +9.5 143.1 82% 61–77 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge -8.1 129.2 20% 81–55 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Riverside +1.3 146.3 58% 75–65 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ UT Martin -1.2 151.9 43% 75–81 ✗
Arizona @ USC -0.1 157.4 50% 87–81 ✓
Washington State @ Washington +0.2 134.5 52% 93–84 ✗
California @ Oregon +16.3 131.8 89% 51–84 ✓
Pepperdine @ Pacific +0.2 161.9 50% 71–84 ✓
Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville +8.4 143.0 80% 66–75 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Bradley +10.1 135.5 83% 66–72 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois +5.7 151.3 72% 66–85 ✓
Monmouth @ Hampton +1.5 142.5 58% 100–64 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ South Carolina Upstate -2.2 132.8 43% 76–77 ✗
Indiana State @ Belmont -2.2 153.8 42% 94–91 ✓
The Citadel @ Mercer +4.6 134.0 68% 41–66 ✓
Campbell @ Longwood +2.9 135.5 60% 81–68 ✗
Akron @ Kent State +6.9 141.0 75% 84–89 ✓
Toledo @ Ball State -2.4 160.8 40% 87–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.