I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–8 on winners spread MAE 10.0 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Auburn @ Alabama +12.0 154.7 87% 85–90 ✓
DePaul @ UConn +17.1 149.9 90% 59–88 ✓
Maryland @ Ohio State +0.3 139.1 49% 62–73 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Kentucky +10.1 147.3 83% 68–66 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Notre Dame -5.6 142.3 25% 81–88 ✗
Long Island University @ Merrimack +15.3 130.5 88% 76–91 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Fairleigh Dickinson +6.9 145.8 75% 75–83 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Saint Francis +2.0 144.8 59% 69–83 ✓
Wagner @ Sacred Heart +0.7 129.6 52% 55–67 ✓
Tulsa @ South Florida +12.0 146.3 88% 56–72 ✓
Richmond @ Saint Joseph's +1.0 146.8 53% 67–83 ✓
Massachusetts @ Duquesne +7.4 145.0 79% 79–88 ✓
George Washington @ Davidson +5.3 152.1 73% 75–70 ✗
Fordham @ George Mason +2.3 137.9 63% 58–64 ✓
Lindenwood @ Southeast Missouri State +4.8 150.8 71% 65–84 ✓
Sam Houston @ Stephen F. Austin -0.9 136.4 46% 64–59 ✓
Oklahoma @ Kansas State +7.4 139.8 78% 69–85 ✓
Presbyterian @ Campbell +7.7 132.0 79% 63–68 ✓
Lamar @ Nicholls +10.6 146.4 87% 60–64 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Houston Christian -4.1 161.4 30% 80–64 ✓
UT Arlington @ Utah Valley +11.6 138.5 87% 59–78 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ McNeese +3.9 149.0 63% 73–80 ✓
Georgetown @ Creighton +16.5 147.9 90% 59–99 ✓
Texas @ TCU +1.1 149.6 55% 73–75 ✓
Chicago State @ Gonzaga +22.7 154.6 90% 65–104 ✓
Tulane @ East Carolina -2.5 153.1 38% 68–83 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ East Texas A&M -3.1 148.3 37% 93–88 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State +11.4 145.1 87% 64–81 ✓
Penn State @ Northwestern +4.6 134.1 70% 68–65 ✗
Missouri @ LSU -4.1 148.9 33% 81–76 ✓
Rhode Island @ Loyola Chicago +2.0 135.5 58% 79–77 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Southern Utah +5.0 151.6 70% 83–78 ✗
Seattle U @ Utah Tech +0.8 142.7 52% 56–93 ✓
Southern Indiana @ SIU Edwardsville +0.9 151.2 53% 54–68 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ California Baptist +6.5 145.2 76% 70–88 ✓
Utah State @ UNLV -1.8 146.2 43% 91–66 ✓
App State @ South Alabama +4.1 132.5 65% 61–68 ✓
Illinois State @ Northern Iowa +2.0 138.7 58% 62–75 ✓
Arkansas State @ Troy +8.4 136.5 80% 59–63 ✓
Evansville @ Indiana State +16.1 144.7 89% 58–97 ✓
Texas State @ Old Dominion +3.3 133.4 65% 65–36 ✗
Boston University @ Army +3.5 138.4 64% 69–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.