I want the bomb, I want the P-Funk, I want my funk uncut. "P-Funk (Wants to Get Funked Up)" - Parliament
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–9 on winners spread MAE 8.3 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Clemson @ Virginia +5.3 130.9 69% 57–64 ✓
Iowa @ Indiana +6.0 156.4 73% 90–68 ✗
Bucknell @ American University +3.7 133.0 66% 59–64 ✓
Holy Cross @ Loyola Maryland +5.3 142.8 73% 69–73 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Robert Morris +13.3 142.6 89% 64–67 ✓
Green Bay @ Wright State +16.2 149.4 90% 57–77 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy +4.3 150.9 70% 68–81 ✓
Bellarmine @ Liberty +15.1 135.3 89% 56–76 ✓
North Alabama @ Eastern Kentucky +4.9 153.0 71% 48–73 ✓
Queens University @ Kennesaw State +6.7 152.5 78% 66–67 ✓
Lipscomb @ Stetson +2.6 155.2 66% 83–70 ✗
NC State @ Duke +5.7 143.6 74% 67–71 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Syracuse +6.6 145.3 76% 96–76 ✗
Boston College @ Wake Forest +9.3 148.5 82% 71–69 ✗
NJIT @ New Hampshire +4.5 133.9 69% 58–59 ✓
UMBC @ Binghamton -0.2 147.2 50% 70–67 ✓
Bryant @ Maine -1.2 146.4 47% 64–66 ✗
UAlbany @ Vermont +15.6 147.1 89% 61–79 ✓
Florida @ Georgia -2.8 146.4 39% 77–67 ✓
Saint Louis @ VCU +6.5 142.5 75% 67–79 ✓
La Salle @ Dayton +12.2 135.9 87% 53–77 ✓
Toledo @ Central Michigan -12.0 150.6 15% 99–65 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green +4.4 155.0 68% 68–88 ✓
Ohio @ Kent State +11.0 146.5 85% 75–82 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan -0.2 144.8 50% 77–62 ✓
Ball State @ Akron +6.0 145.1 75% 83–87 ✓
Buffalo @ Northern Illinois +1.3 152.6 58% 85–75 ✗
Georgia State @ Texas State +2.9 134.2 61% 76–81 ✓
Villanova @ Seton Hall +2.7 130.1 63% 76–72 ✗
Texas Tech @ Kansas +9.9 148.2 83% 63–67 ✓
Arkansas @ Tennessee +6.7 133.7 76% 57–75 ✓
San Diego State @ Boise State +2.8 136.5 59% 60–66 ✓
Texas A&M @ Ole Miss -3.7 136.4 32% 69–61 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Louisville -9.5 146.7 18% 71–54 ✓
Michigan State @ Nebraska -1.4 140.8 46% 80–67 ✓
South Carolina @ Mississippi State +13.8 131.0 87% 68–74 ✓
Fresno State @ New Mexico +11.2 141.6 87% 80–94 ✓
Colorado State @ San José State +3.2 139.9 68% 46–63 ✓
Charleston Southern @ High Point +0.2 147.6 52% 72–70 ✗
Xavier @ Providence +1.7 158.7 60% 94–89 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.