Look out honey, 'cause I'm using technology "Search and Destroy" - Iggy and the Stooges
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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53–28 on winners spread MAE 10.2 81 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ohio @ Kentucky +8.7 151.6 77% 59–77 ✓
Auburn @ South Florida +1.3 133.5 43% 58–52 ✗
Marquette @ West Virginia +1.9 141.3 60% 82–71 ✗
Lehigh @ Merrimack +7.6 125.1 63% 45–55 ✓
Radford @ Furman +17.0 144.9 87% 64–81 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Robert Morris +8.6 140.7 74% 74–70 ✗
Idaho State @ Nebraska +5.2 136.8 77% 60–78 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Minnesota +14.2 141.3 81% 49–78 ✓
UMass Lowell @ George Washington +3.8 135.7 62% 67–56 ✗
George Mason @ James Madison -1.8 137.9 42% 64–67 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Fordham +10.3 134.9 78% 75–73 ✗
Coppin State @ Virginia +5.9 132.2 75% 52–68 ✓
Belmont @ Kennesaw State -1.4 146.6 47% 97–78 ✓
North Alabama @ Manhattan -0.4 136.4 65% 51–55 ✗
East Carolina @ Old Dominion -5.9 136.7 27% 73–60 ✓
Hampton @ Wofford +11.8 140.6 82% 60–77 ✓
Arkansas State @ Southeast Missouri State +11.9 159.5 85% 72–60 ✗
UMBC @ Western Carolina +1.1 141.8 60% 91–75 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Stephen F. Austin -1.9 135.8 43% 74–87 ✗
Niagara @ SIU Edwardsville -1.7 140.0 46% 70–60 ✓
Lafayette @ Duke +34.4 150.0 91% 55–88 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Memphis +25.2 151.6 90% 62–74 ✓
Oakland @ Alabama +6.7 142.8 72% 59–86 ✓
Southern @ South Dakota +1.5 141.5 45% 68–71 ✓
Florida International @ Green Bay -11.4 129.1 23% 63–60 ✓
Rice @ LSU New Orleans +1.5 141.1 56% 83–78 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Colorado +2.6 145.7 66% 67–63 ✗
Stetson @ Lamar +4.8 146.0 69% 60–59 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Northwestern State +4.9 145.8 64% 83–64 ✗
Bellarmine @ Gonzaga +22.2 151.8 89% 50–92 ✓
Ole Miss @ Elon -3.9 146.6 25% 74–56 ✓
Cal Poly @ Santa Clara +21.0 143.9 86% 57–87 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Georgia +8.0 133.6 77% 88–78 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ San Diego +6.8 145.9 76% 57–55 ✗
UTEP @ Pacific +4.4 139.5 71% 73–64 ✗
Wichita State @ Arizona +12.8 136.9 87% 78–82 ✓
Michigan @ UNLV -10.4 131.1 17% 74–61 ✓
Binghamton @ UConn +23.1 145.1 90% 63–87 ✓
Bryant @ Bethune-Cookman -2.4 146.3 45% 75–81 ✗
Monmouth @ Saint Joseph's -2.4 148.8 38% 87–75 ✓
Villanova @ Tennessee -0.8 154.3 45% 71–53 ✓
Stanford @ Baylor +14.9 142.9 87% 48–86 ✓
Richmond @ Drake +18.5 151.9 87% 70–73 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Quinnipiac +13.2 142.5 89% 65–76 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Youngstown State +9.2 147.0 78% 69–66 ✗
Howard @ High Point -3.2 152.6 35% 63–73 ✗
UCF @ Evansville -1.6 131.0 36% 75–59 ✓
Northern Arizona @ UT Rio Grande Valley -5.0 140.2 18% 89–87 ✓
Austin Peay @ Dayton +2.1 129.4 67% 87–81 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Louisville +10.1 142.6 84% 67–73 ✓
Canisius @ Cleveland State +4.0 134.0 67% 70–80 ✓
Rider @ Buffalo +12.3 151.0 82% 65–87 ✓
Holy Cross @ Air Force +3.5 131.4 65% 53–72 ✓
UT Martin @ Troy -0.5 140.0 52% 67–80 ✗
Utah Tech @ Cal State Northridge +2.8 140.9 64% 73–79 ✓
Bradley @ Brown +1.1 138.3 54% 62–65 ✓
Purdue @ North Carolina -7.1 157.9 25% 93–84 ✓
Montana State @ New Mexico +9.6 162.9 81% 78–81 ✓
UIC @ Loyola Chicago +28.8 151.3 91% 63–80 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Delaware State +3.6 124.8 60% 67–63 ✗
Chattanooga @ VCU +1.4 124.2 50% 56–54 ✗
Army @ La Salle -5.0 149.1 40% 58–61 ✗
Chicago State @ UC Santa Barbara +11.1 134.7 79% 50–81 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Wake Forest +13.8 137.5 83% 63–87 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Central Arkansas -1.2 149.7 32% 67–70 ✗
Niagara @ St. Thomas +2.4 149.3 61% 67–76 ✓
Hampton @ Georgia Southern +7.3 131.6 76% 66–86 ✓
Radford @ Navy +3.4 130.8 69% 33–47 ✓
UMBC @ Longwood +15.0 141.6 87% 55–82 ✓
Georgia State @ William & Mary -9.3 149.3 24% 77–59 ✓
Mercer @ Saint Louis +22.7 150.5 90% 58–75 ✓
Texas Tech @ Incarnate Word -15.8 144.5 13% 84–62 ✓
Colgate @ Syracuse +15.6 143.6 85% 100–85 ✗
Utah @ Boston College -0.9 132.0 42% 68–61 ✓
VMI @ Marist +7.5 148.0 77% 74–78 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Michigan State +20.2 151.4 87% 59–83 ✓
Duquesne @ Colorado +10.1 142.8 80% 76–84 ✓
San José State @ Texas +18.5 139.6 88% 45–79 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ St. John's +36.3 152.0 91% 74–87 ✓
North Dakota @ Florida Atlantic +11.6 150.0 86% 79–98 ✓
Manhattan @ Liberty +4.7 128.9 65% 76–60 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.