Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | SOU -0.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -0.6 (+2.4) | 138.4 (+0.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -1.5 (+1.5) | 141.5 (-2.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -0.8 (+2.2) | 141.8 (-2.8) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | SDAK 93 – 79 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#337) | -1.0 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#107) | 0.44 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#114) | 0.37 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.792 (#4) | 0.486 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.6% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.3% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 13.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.1% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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