Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +10 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | NIA -3.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -2.2 (-7.8) | 139.4 (-9.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -1.5 (-8.5) | 142.6 (-12.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -1.7 (-8.3) | 140.0 (-10.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -3.2 (-6.8) | 141.9 (-11.9) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 66.0 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#196) | 2.8 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#226) | -0.67 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#222) | -0.85 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#192) | 0.521 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.8% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 14.3% | 46.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.5% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 18.8% |
| FT Rate | 37.7% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.