Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +10 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -11.6 (-21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.1 (+39.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -7.6 (-17.6) | 134.1 (+31.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -5.2 (-15.2) | 136.4 (+29.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -8.4 (-18.4) | 135.3 (+30.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -8.0 (-18.0) | 133.6 (+32.4) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | UGA 92 – 87 GT |
| Nov 16, 2024 | UGA 77 – 69 GT |
| Dec 6, 2023 | UGA 76 – 62 GT |
| Dec 7, 2022 | GT 79 – 77 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 5-15 |
| Home | 6-13 | 9-10 |
| Away | 0-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#110) | 0.9 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#124) | -0.59 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#107) | -0.73 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#63) | 0.435 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 41.0% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 13.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 42.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 80.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.9% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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