Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -2000 GT +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +5 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -37.7 (-32.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+32.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -28.6 (-23.6) | 152.3 (+26.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UGA -23.9 (-18.9) | 149.0 (+30.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UGA -21.8 (-16.8) | 143.3 (+35.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -26.0 (-21.0) | 141.7 (+37.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | UGA 77 – 69 GT |
| Dec 6, 2023 | UGA 76 – 62 GT |
| Dec 7, 2022 | GT 79 – 77 UGA |
| Nov 20, 2021 | GT 88 – 78 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 2-16 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-9 |
| Away | 6-4 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 25.9 (#2) | -1.8 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#117) | 0.82 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#111) | 1.01 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#198) | 0.514 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 44.7 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 16.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 2.32 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 10.8% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 43.5% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.0% | 36.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 30.2% | 24.7% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.9% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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