Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | GT -213 UGA +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | GT -8.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.7 (+36.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -6.8 (-4.8) | 131.8 (+24.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -5.9 (-3.9) | 132.7 (+23.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -5.1 (-3.1) | 132.6 (+23.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -4.4 (-2.4) | 132.7 (+23.3) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | UGA 92 – 87 GT |
| Nov 16, 2024 | UGA 77 – 69 GT |
| Dec 6, 2023 | UGA 76 – 62 GT |
| Nov 20, 2021 | GT 88 – 78 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#120) | 0.0 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#139) | 0.25 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#147) | 0.00 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#133) | 0.527 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 38.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 62.8% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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