Betting Lines
| Spread | UVA -24.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVA +16 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | UVA -11.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVA -9.3 (+6.7) | 128.5 (-8.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVA -5.4 (+10.6) | 131.4 (-11.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVA -5.9 (+10.1) | 132.2 (-12.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVA -6.6 (+9.4) | 123.6 (-3.6) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2024 | UVA 62 – 45 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVA | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-8 |
| Home | 11-7 | 3-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.1 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#257) | -6.8 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#338) | -1.12 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.85 (#345) | -1.81 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.373 (#301) | 0.482 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVA | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 34.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 40.7% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 16.6% |
| FT Rate | 34.8% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.