Betting Lines
| Spread | UVA -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Under |
| Money | UVA -2500 COPP +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVA +17 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | UVA -21.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVA -16.2 (+0.8) | 122.5 (-15.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVA -15.3 (+1.7) | 127.2 (-20.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVA -13.1 (+3.9) | 127.7 (-20.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2021 | UVA 68 – 52 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVA | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-7 | 5-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#253) | -13.7 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#165) | -2.00 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#169) | -3.37 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#259) | 0.486 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVA | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 57.1% | 31.4% |
| 3PT% | 46.2% | 22.2% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 4.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.3% | 35.1% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 18.2% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 12.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 80.0% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 5.4% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.