Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +4 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -21.7 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (+25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -11.5 (-7.5) | 136.6 (+23.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -11.7 (-7.7) | 138.3 (+21.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -12.8 (-8.8) | 136.9 (+23.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -12.1 (-8.1) | 140.5 (+19.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 6-9 |
| Home | 17-0 | 11-6 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 22.4 (#1) | 0.7 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#83) | 0.86 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#78) | 0.97 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.676 (#38) | 0.532 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 49.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 2.22 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.6% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 31.6% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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