West Virginia
Mountaineers
71
–
82
FINAL
Neutral
Shriners Children's Charleston Classic
Marquette
Golden Eagles
Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | WVU -230 MARQ +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +11 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | WVU -4.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -2.7 (-13.7) | 147.8 (+5.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -2.2 (-13.2) | 143.7 (+9.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -1.9 (-12.9) | 141.3 (+11.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -1.8 (-12.8) | 146.3 (+6.7) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#58) | 2.6 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#18) | 1.88 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.49 (#26) | 2.43 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.740 (#10) | 0.661 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 34.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 34.6% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 61.5% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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