Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -190 RICH +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -22.8 (-19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -18.5 (-15.5) | 151.9 (-8.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -16.1 (-13.1) | 152.7 (-9.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -17.8 (-14.8) | 153.0 (-10.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | RICH 82 – 52 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-2 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-6 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#9) | 0.9 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#91) | -0.13 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#80) | -0.10 (#180) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | 0.593 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 50.0% | 40.4% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.4% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 40.0% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 39.0% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 34.7% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 79.5% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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