Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | RICH +120 DRKE -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +30 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -1.3 (+28.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -1.9 (+28.1) | 131.4 (+2.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -2.2 (+27.8) | 131.4 (+2.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -1.2 (+28.8) | 131.7 (+2.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -0.7 (+29.3) | 132.7 (+1.3) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2021 | DRKE 73 – 70 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 1-11 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 64.4 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#144) | 5.6 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#261) | 2.32 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#216) | 3.25 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#236) | 0.625 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.