I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
Leavey Center · November 20, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -15.0 Home covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCU win
Actual SCU +30 144 Won
Massey SCU -24.9 (+5.1) — —
Massey Totals — 140.6 (+3.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SCU -18.5 (+11.5) 143.1 (+0.9) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -17.9 (+12.1) 141.7 (+2.3) 89% ✓
Baseline ML SCU -21.0 (+9.0) 143.9 (+0.1) 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SCU -20.9 (+9.1) 141.6 (+2.4) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 10, 2020 SCU 76 – 69 CP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCU CP
Overall 21-12 7-21
Conference 10-5 2-12
Home 14-4 4-7
Away 5-6 2-12
Neutral 2-2 1-2
Last 5 3-0 0-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 77.3 60.6
Avg Pts Against 71.9 67.9
Massey 5.6 (#73) -10.5 (#339)
Bradley-Terry 1.15 (#81) -3.08 (#353)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.57 (#84) -3.89 (#347)
RPI 0.686 (#28) 0.146 (#355)
Shooting & Four Factors SCU CP
FG% 56.1% 39.8%
3PT% 40.9% 27.6%
REB / G 32.0 34.5
OREB / G 7.7 11.0
AST / TO 2.23 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 63.4% 43.7%
TOV% 14.0% 19.9%
ORB% 26.4% 32.8%
FT Rate 16.6% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 45.0%
Opp TOV% 21.0% 23.1%
DRB% 62.4% 69.1%
Opp FT Rate 14.6% 28.0%

Game Analysis

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