Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | CP +380 SCU -475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -6.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -5.6 (-1.4) | 133.4 (+11.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -5.8 (-1.2) | 132.3 (+12.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -4.5 (-2.5) | 139.4 (+5.6) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2021 | SCU 87 – 57 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-20 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 4-5 |
| Home | 3-8 | 6-3 |
| Away | 0-11 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.8 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#290) | -0.6 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#268) | 1.20 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.03 (#268) | 1.41 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#217) | 0.569 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 17.6% | 21.4% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.8% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 67.3% | 36.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.2% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 78.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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