Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +24 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -10.8 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (+19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -12.5 (+11.5) | 140.0 (+10.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -13.8 (+10.2) | 137.5 (+12.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -11.7 (+12.3) | 136.3 (+13.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -11.2 (+12.8) | 138.6 (+11.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2024 | WAKE 80 – 64 NCAT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#116) | 1.3 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#118) | -1.26 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#126) | -1.47 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#169) | 0.306 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.4% | 36.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 20.6% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.6% | 40.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 12.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 41.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.9% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.2% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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