Space travel's in my blood. "Another Girl, Another Planet" - The Only Ones
UPMC Events Center · November 20, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -5.0 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual MSM +4 144 Lost
Massey RMU -14.9 (-18.9) — —
Massey Totals — 134.6 (+9.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RMU -8.5 (-12.5) 135.4 (+8.6) 73% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RMU -6.4 (-10.4) 135.7 (+8.3) 70% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -7.9 (-11.9) 139.7 (+4.3) 77% ✗
Baseline ML RMU -8.6 (-12.6) 140.7 (+3.3) 74% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 18, 2022 RMU 68 – 59 MSM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU MSM
Overall 8-24 14-16
Conference 5-16 9-9
Home 4-10 8-7
Away 4-14 6-11
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 0-3 0-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 64.4
Avg Pts Against 75.5 65.4
Massey -4.3 (#264) -10.4 (#338)
Bradley-Terry -0.74 (#242) -1.47 (#307)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.09 (#252) -2.24 (#307)
RPI 0.528 (#146) 0.333 (#319)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU MSM
FG% 39.5% 36.7%
3PT% 27.4% 28.6%
REB / G 32.7 25.7
OREB / G 9.7 9.3
AST / TO 0.74 0.75
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.4% 40.5%
TOV% 21.6% 22.3%
ORB% 27.4% 26.4%
FT Rate 18.6% 24.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.7% 61.8%
Opp TOV% 13.6% 18.4%
DRB% 65.7% 59.0%
Opp FT Rate 13.8% 17.4%

Game Analysis

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