Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | MSM -150 RMU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +9 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | MSM -7.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -6.1 (-15.1) | 131.0 (-4.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -6.0 (-15.0) | 130.8 (-3.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -5.6 (-14.6) | 132.5 (-5.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -5.6 (-14.6) | 132.8 (-5.8) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2021 | MSM 74 – 70 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#179) | -3.0 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#207) | -1.54 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#209) | -1.17 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#200) | 0.411 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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