Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -11.0 Home covered |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +3 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -1.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.9 (-25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -1.4 (+4.4) | 153.9 (-16.9) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -2.2 (+5.2) | 150.8 (-13.8) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -1.2 (+4.2) | 149.7 (-12.7) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | ORU 111 – 78 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Massey | -17.3 (#356) | -7.6 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#308) | -0.38 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#315) | -0.61 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#259) | 0.500 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.9% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.48 | 2.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.0% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 27.5% | 6.6% |
| ORB% | 20.5% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 12.0% | 7.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 66.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 6.5% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.