Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | ORU -2000 CARK +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +33 | 189 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -18.2 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (+29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -13.5 (+19.5) | 156.4 (+32.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -14.5 (+18.5) | 162.1 (+26.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -15.6 (+17.4) | 155.8 (+33.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -15.5 (+17.5) | 154.9 (+34.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2021 | CARK 70 – 67 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 4-14 |
| Home | 16-0 | 6-8 |
| Away | 11-4 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 82.4 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#73) | -6.6 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#68) | -0.43 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#69) | -0.85 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#37) | 0.430 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 12.2% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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