Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +12 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -27.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (-18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -15.9 (-3.9) | 153.3 (-17.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -20.5 (-8.5) | 150.8 (-14.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -25.2 (-13.2) | 151.6 (-15.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -23.9 (-11.9) | 153.4 (-17.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2020 | WKU 75 – 69 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Massey | 14.9 (#10) | -3.6 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#105) | -1.18 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#109) | -1.88 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#108) | 0.483 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.8% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 45.2% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 63.1% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 25.4% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 33.9% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 35.3% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 26.2% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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