Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -185 WKU +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -3.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -2.5 (-8.5) | 146.3 (-2.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -1.3 (-7.3) | 143.5 (+0.5) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2021 | MEM 74 – 62 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 6-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#18) | 2.0 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#8) | 1.06 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#9) | 1.45 (#15) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 43.8% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 11.4% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 11.9% | 41.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 34.7% | 61.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 79.5% | 82.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 14.3% |
Game Analysis
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